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Leaving without Losing

The War on Terror after Iraq and Afghanistan

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1 of 1 copy available
1 of 1 copy available

As the United States withdraws its combat troops from Iraq and Afghanistan, politicians, foreign policy specialists, and the public are worrying about the consequences of leaving these two countries. Neither nation can be considered stable, and progress toward democracy in them—a principal aim of America and the West—is fragile at best. But, international relations scholar Mark N. Katz asks: Could ending both wars actually help the United States and its allies to overcome radical Islam in the long term?

Drawing lessons from the Cold War, Katz makes the case that rather than signaling the decline of American power and influence, removing military forces from Afghanistan and Iraq puts the U.S. in a better position to counter the forces of radical Islam and ultimately win the war on terror. He explains that since both wars will likely remain intractable, for Washington to remain heavily involved in either is counter-productive. Katz argues that looking to its Cold War experience would help the U.S. find better strategies for employing America's scarce resources to deal with its adversaries now. This means that, although leaving Afghanistan and Iraq may well appear to be a victory for America's opponents in the short term—as was the case when the U.S. withdrew from Indochina—the larger battle with militant Islam can be won only by refocusing foreign and military policy away from these two quagmires.

This sober, objective assessment of what went wrong in the U.S.–led wars in Afghanistan and Iraq and the ways the West can disentangle itself and still move forward draws striking parallels with the Cold War. Anyone concerned with the future of the War on Terror will find Katz's argument highly thought provoking.

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    • Publisher's Weekly

      February 27, 2012
      Katz (Russia and Arabia), professor of government and politics at George Mason University, assesses the future of the “War on Terror” after Iraq and Afghanistan in this timely, if speculative, analysis. Using the cold war as a template, Katz argues that withdrawal from Iraq and Afghanistan, like the U.S. withdrawal from Indochina, “need not mean defeat.” He further speculates about the possibility of “a surprising wave of democratization” in the Greater Middle East similar to what happened in Eastern Europe following the fall of the Communist governments. However, Katz cautions that the current broader conflict “will continue for years or even decades to come.” While conceding that there “do not appear to be any easy options,” the author labors, with only partial success, to draw parallels that support a satisfactory conclusion to the “War on Terror.” In fact, even in his calculus, the potential downside of withdrawal—e.g., loss of U.S. influence in the region and chaos in Iraq and Afghanistan—appear to outweigh the upside, e.g., that repressive Islamic regimes will prove unpopular. As the U.S. searches for a way forward, Katz’s largely objective and thoughtful analysis offers much to consider.

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